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Showing posts with label Climate change impact assessment. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Climate change impact assessment. Show all posts

Wednesday, September 20, 2023

Climate Change and its Impact on the Global Economy

In the contemporary landscape, climate change looms as one of the most formidable global quandaries. Its repercussions reverberate profoundly across our ecosystem, societal fabric, and economic tapestry. While extensive deliberation pertains to the ecological and humanitarian facets of this conundrum, it is paramount to dissect its profound nexus with the worldwide financial system. This discourse embarks on an odyssey to scrutinize the multilayered interplay between climate change and the global economy, delving deep into the myriad channels through which environmental metamorphoses impact sectors like industry, commerce, finance, and the overarching equilibrium of the economic milieu.

The Economic Toll of Climate Flux

Extreme Climatic Manifestations

Climate change increasingly intertwines itself with the emergence of extreme meteorological phenomena, including tempests, parched spells, deluges, and conflagrations. These occurrences, in their wake, unfurl calamitous fiscal repercussions. A stark illustration presents itself in the annals of 2017, wherein hurricanes Harvey, Irma, and Maria wreaked havoc, bequeathing a cataclysmic toll of over $265 billion, thus etching a record as the most exorbitant hurricane season ever documented. The insurance realm shoulders a formidable burden during such cataclysms, engendering a surge in premiums and diminishing economic robustness.

Agriculture and the Citadel of Sustenance

Agriculture, being acutely susceptible to the ravages of climate metamorphosis, stands as a bastion of vulnerability. Altered weather patterns, escalated temperatures, and perturbed precipitation regimes precipitate disarray within crop yields and alimentary production. This menaces not only the global food security paradigm but also begets the tempestuous tempest of price volatility. The dearth of staple harvests begets an ascent in prices, casting a specter upon both consumers and the agricultural domain itself. Moreover, farmers grapple with escalated gambles and ambivalence, subsequently undermining capital infusion and productivity.

The Ascent of Oceanic Boundaries

The elevation in sea levels, an ominous ramification of climate transformation, ensues from the meltdown of ice formations and the thermal dilation of marine waters. Coastal terrains, which domicile a substantial fraction of the global populace, teeter on the brink of inundation. This imparts an imminent menace to property valuations, insurance overheads, and infrastructure perpetuation. The forfeiture of invaluable coastal real estate harbors the potential to incite a financial cataclysm reminiscent of the housing market collapse of 2008.

Health and the Confluence of Productivity

Climate change exercises a tangible imprint upon public health and labor efficiency. The upsurge in heatwaves and the dissemination of vector-borne ailments transcribe an augmented outlay in healthcare and a concomitant decrement in occupational efficacy. As resources increasingly devolve towards healthcare provisioning, economies stand vulnerable to the shackles of growth diminution.

The Odyssey Toward a Verdant Economy

The Luminary Dawn of Renewable Vigor

One of the preeminent ripostes to climate transmutation unfurls as the transition towards a verdant economy, underscored by the valorization of renewable energy founts encompassing solar, zephyr, and hydropower. This transmutation enshrines within it an intricate mosaic of challenges and opportunities for the global fiscal panorama. While the nascent outlays of renewable infrastructure might scale lofty peaks, the long-term gains encompass a diminution in greenhouse gas emissions, the attainment of energy autonomy, and the fecundation of employment avenues. Investiture in clean energy technologies possesses the aptitude to galvanize economic burgeon and innovation.

The Bastion of Energy Efficiency

The edification of energy frugality, spanning the expanse of various industries and sectors, morphs into an imperative pillar in the repertoire of climate amelioration. This paradigm shift requisites investments in research, incubation, and the mainstreaming of energy-efficient technologies. Albeit the presence of transitory pecuniary ramifications, the long-term economies in energy overheads and the curtailment of carbon emissions promulgate a boost to the edifice of economic resilience.

The Tapestry of Verdant Employment

The transition to a carbon-lean economic edifice forebodes the genesis of myriad viridescent vocations. These employments span the spectrum, encompassing realms such as renewable energy, sustainable agrology, and ecologically amicable construction. Through the endowment in workforce tutelage and erudition, nations contrive to arm their citizenry with the acumen indispensable to thrive within the transmuting labor theater, thereby curtailing joblessness and societal incongruity.

The Governmental Imprint

The Canvas of Carbon Valuation

Governments, on a global scale, institute carbon pricing modalities, comprising carbon imposts and cap-and-trade configurations, with the intention of stimulating corporate carbon abatement. While these edicts accrue potentiality in the attenuation of greenhouse gas effluxes, they concurrently cast their shadows upon the competitiveness of particular industries. Striking a harmonious equilibrium betwixt environmental custodianship and fiscal expansion emerges as a formidable tightrope walk for policy crafters.

The Regimen of Regulatory Frameworks

The precincts of regulatory frameworks play an indispensable role in sculpting corporate rejoinders to climate vicissitudes. Stringent environmental strictures might elicit an upswing in compliance disbursements, which certain industries may concomitantly transmit to their clientele. Nevertheless, these structures have the potential to catalyze ingenuity, galvanize ecologically benevolent investments, and kindle market prospects for sustainable wares and services.

The Compact of International Accords

International compacts, exemplified by the Paris Accord, assume a pivotal stance in coordinating global endeavors to combat climate perturbation. These compacts bequeath a structural framework for concertation and the formulation of emission reduction benchmarks. However, the effusiveness of these compacts hinges upon the adherence of participating nations and the efficacy of enforcement mechanisms. The shortfall in the achievement of climate pinnacles carries the specter of diplomatic and fiscal repercussions.

Climate Metamorphosis and Global Barter

The Labyrinth of Supply Chain Disruption

Climate perturbation-associated dislocations, including extreme meteorological events and the upthrust of sea levels, possess the capacity to upheave worldwide supply networks. This frailty attained glaring limelight during the throes of the COVID-19 pandemic when supply chains confronted formidable duress. Climate-associated disruptions can precipitate an ascent in manufacturing expenditures, a diminution in operational efficiency, and tardiness in the provisioning of goods and amenities. These byproducts in turn impinge upon trade courses and fiscal equilibrium.

Agriculture and the World of Commerce

Alterations in meteorological patterns proffer ramifications for agrarian productivity, which, in a domino effect, echo across the labyrinthine contours of global alimentary trade. Countries reliant on exportation may confront fiscal encumbrances if they falter in fulfilling their export commitments due to dwindling crop yields. Import-reliant nations may grapple with shortages in edibles and spiraling price points, potentially catalyzing sociopolitical instability.

The Looming Specter of Resource Scarcity

Climate change possesses the wherewithal to exacerbate the scarcity of resources, spanning realms like water deficits and the depletion of natural endowments. This paves the way for rivalries and conflagrations over access to indispensable resources, thereby rending asunder the scaffolding of global trade and fiscal equilibrium. In addition, resource dearth can propel the upswing in the outlays of resource-intensive industries, thereby imprinting an indelible seal upon economic burgeon.

The Perils Encountered by the Financial Sphere

The Quandary of Stranded Holdings

As the globe navigates towards renewable vigor and a low-carbon economic modality, fossil fuel holdings risk morphing into forsaken assets. These dormant assets, encompassing coal mines and oil reserves, might evolve into economic relics, culminating in prodigious pecuniary contractions for investors and energy conglomerates. Financial establishments ensnared in these assets may grapple with instability unless they are adequately primed for this metamorphic process.

The Gambit of Climate-Related Financial Vulnerabilities

The fiscal sphere contends with an array of climate-related vulnerabilities, including corporeal vulnerabilities (e.g., real estate damage due to extreme meteorological phenomena), transitional vulnerabilities (e.g., statutory changes impacting investments), and liability vulnerabilities (e.g., legal actions tethered to climate repercussions). These vulnerabilities have the propensity to corrode the steadfastness of fiscal markets and precipitate fiscal cataclysms if not meticulously managed and disclosed.

Epilogue

Climate change cast its shadow as an existential menace to our planet, and its resonance with the global economy assumes increasingly conspicuous contours. From the gambit of extreme climatic incidents to the mazes of supply chain perturbations, the ascent of sea levels to the pecuniary expense of health considerations, climate change leaves an indelible mark on virtually every aspect of the worldwide economy. Nonetheless, it proffers an avenue for inventive thought, the engendering of employment prospects, and the cultivation of sustainable fiscal acceleration through a temporary stay toward a verdant economy.

Effectively addressing the fiscal repercussions of climate change demands worldwide harmonization, sagacious governmental stratagems, and proactive measures executed by corporate entities and financial establishments. Striking an equilibrium between fiscal expansion and environmental sustainability emerges as the ultimate conundrum of our era. Solely through concerted endeavor can we aspire to palliate the most ominous fiscal aftereffects of climate change and bequeath to forthcoming generations a future suffused with prosperity and sustainability.

Wednesday, August 23, 2023

Climate change impact assessment

Climate change is a cross-cutting issue spanning various Ministries/ Departments and institutions under them. Studies on adverse impacts of climate change is mainly sponsored by the Department of Science and Technology (DST), Ministry of Earth Sciences (MoES), Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change (MoEFCC), Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO), Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, and Council of Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR). Sectoral aspects of climate change are also studied by different Ministries/Departments concerning sectors like agriculture, water resources, human health, power, renewable energy, transport, urban, etc. Further, a large number of universities and government research institutions such as the Indian Institute of Technologies (IITs), Indian Institute of Science (IISc), Central and State Universities and their departments also carry out climate change related research.

The Government of India through its various organizations such as Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology, National Centre for Polar and Ocean Research (NCPOR), Geological Survey of India, Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO), G. B. Pant National Institute of Himalayan Environment, Central Water Commission, and National Institute of Hydrology has been carrying out regular scientific studies to monitor the changes in Himalayan glaciers. One such study conducted by MoEFCC and ISRO, monitored 2,018 glaciers between years 2000 to 2011, which showed that 87% of the glaciers showed no change, 12% retreated and 1% glaciers have advanced.

Climate change and its impact on glaciers remains a global challenge which requires global efforts and actions. Government of India is committed to protect the glaciers and has made efforts to reduce the impact through several adaptation and mitigation measures. This includes a number of programmes under National Action Plan on Climate Change. Various R&D projects are being supported for studying Himalayan Glaciers under the National Mission for Sustaining Himalayan Ecosystem and National Mission on Strategic Knowledge for Climate Change. Several areas in the Himalayan States have also been declared as National Parks or Protected Areas, such as, Gangotri National Park, Nanda Devi Biosphere Reserve, and Great Himalayan National Park.

There is no established study for India providing a quantified attribution of climate change leading to increased outbreak of floods. While many studies monitor disasters such as floods, drought and heat, the science of attribution of these changes particularly to climate change is far more complex and currently an evolving subject. Most studies so far have relied on mathematical modelling of climate change impacts but these are not empirically verified.

The occurrence of floods can be attributed to various factors, including wide variations in rainfall both in time and space with frequent departures from the normal pattern, inadequate carrying capacities of rivers, river bank erosion and silting of river beds, landslides, poor natural drainage in flood prone areas, snowmelt and glacial lake out-bursts.